How do international migration and internal mobility of migrants shape local populations? Developing a spatial microsimulation model of population dynamics with application in infectious disease modelling. (DynaMIGs)

International migration has become increasingly relevant in recent decades for demographic developments in European societies. However, the long-term implications of migration for population dynamics on (sub)national levels are, to date, largely unknown since these are impossible to ascertain using traditional aggregate-level models which fail to consider heterogeneity in the life courses of migrants and their descendants. This also hampers public health policies as demographic risk factors for disease transmission (e.g. household structures) vary by migration background. Using population-wide longitudinal microdata that span several decades, the DynaMIGs-project aims to i) analyse life course transitions and spatial mobility in migrant populations at the individual and household level, ii) integrate these results in a demographic microsimulation model of population dynamics, and iii) incorporate this heterogeneity in individual-based models of infectious disease transmission.

Keywords:MICROSIMULATIONS, MIGRATION, DISEASE MODELS, LIFE COURSE

Disciplines:Modelling and simulation, Infectious diseases, Family and household studies, Migration, Mortality and health

Project type:Collaboration project