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Degrees of riskiness, falsifiability, and truthlikeness; A neo-Popperian account applicable to probabilistic theories

Journal Contribution - Journal Article

In this paper, we take a fresh look at three Popperian concepts: riskiness, falsifiability, and truthlikeness (or verisimilitude) of scientific hypotheses or theories. First, we make explicit the dimensions that underlie the notion of riskiness. Secondly, we examine if and how degrees of falsifiability can be defined, and how they are related to various dimensions of the concept of riskiness as well as the experimental context. Thirdly, we consider the relation of riskiness to (expected degrees of) truthlikeness. Throughout, we pay special attention to probabilistic theories and we offer a tentative, quantitative account of verisimilitude for probabilistic theories.
Journal: Synthese: an International Journal for Epistemology, Methodology and Philosophy of Science
ISSN: 0039-7857
Issue: 3-4
Volume: 199
Pages: 11729 - 11764
Publication year:2021
BOF-keylabel:yes
IOF-keylabel:yes
BOF-publication weight:2
CSS-citation score:1
Authors from:Higher Education
Accessibility:Open